2. Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 27
March 21, 2026 21:30
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
7
1.34
Actual xG
2.31
61%
Possession
39%
11
Corners
5
Pre-match prediction
34.84%
SV
22.43%
X ←
42.72%
FC
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
22.43%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.42
1.34
-0.08
1.97
2.31
+0.34
FC Schalke 04 dominated by xG (2.31 vs 1.34).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.