Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 27
March 21, 2026 22:05
✓Model correct — prediction Paris Saint Germain
Match statistics
1
Shots on target
10
0.24
Actual xG
3.71
26%
Possession
74%
2
Corners
5
Pre-match prediction
15.73%
Nice
17.09%
X
67.18%
Paris ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Paris Saint Germain)
67.18%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.13
0.24
-0.89
2.55
3.71
+1.16
Paris Saint Germain dominated by xG (3.71 vs 0.24).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
