Serie B
· Regular Season - 32
March 21, 2026 16:00
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
3
1.99
Actual xG
1.36
50%
Possession
50%
7
Corners
5
Pre-match prediction
25.93%
Cesena ←
21.44%
X
52.63%
Catanzaro
we assigned to the actual result (Cesena)
25.93%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.17
1.99
+0.82
2.29
1.36
-0.93
Cesena dominated by xG (1.99 vs 1.36).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
