Serie B
· Regular Season - 32
March 21, 2026 16:00
Match statistics
8
Shots on target
2
3.67
Actual xG
1.06
56%
Possession
44%
3
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
44.26%
Juve ←
33.0%
X
22.74%
Spezia
we assigned to the actual result (Juve Stabia)
44.26%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.13
3.67
+2.54
1.01
1.06
+0.05
Juve Stabia dominated by xG (3.67 vs 1.06).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
