Serie B
· Regular Season - 32
March 21, 2026 16:00
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
1
1.58
Actual xG
1.28
66%
Possession
34%
9
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
22.71%
Padova
24.53%
X
52.76%
Palermo ←
we assigned to the actual result (Palermo)
52.76%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.05
1.58
+0.53
1.94
1.28
-0.66
xG dominance was balanced (1.58 – 1.28).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
