Serie B
· Regular Season - 32
March 21, 2026 18:15
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
2
1.82
Actual xG
0.94
40%
Possession
60%
10
Corners
1
Pre-match prediction
40.27%
Monza
25.57%
X ←
34.15%
Venezia
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.57%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.61
1.82
+0.21
1.70
0.94
-0.76
Monza dominated by xG (1.82 vs 0.94).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.