Serie B
· Regular Season - 32
March 21, 2026 20:30
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
2
0.50
Actual xG
0.70
37%
Possession
63%
1
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
47.56%
Modena ←
30.14%
X
22.31%
Mantova
we assigned to the actual result (Modena)
47.56%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.42
0.50
-0.92
0.98
0.70
-0.29
xG dominance was balanced (0.50 – 0.70).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
