Championship
· Regular Season - 39
March 21, 2026 14:30
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
3
1.38
Actual xG
1.67
64%
Possession
36%
9
Corners
8
Pre-match prediction
49.04%
Ipswich
24.92%
X ←
26.04%
Millwall
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.92%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.69
1.38
-0.31
1.31
1.67
+0.36
xG dominance was balanced (1.38 – 1.67).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.