Championship
· Regular Season - 39
March 21, 2026 14:30
Match statistics
1
Shots on target
3
0.32
Actual xG
1.50
29%
Possession
71%
3
Corners
11
Pre-match prediction
27.27%
Blackburn
23.06%
X ←
49.67%
Middlesbrough
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
23.06%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.83
0.32
-0.51
1.87
1.50
-0.37
Middlesbrough dominated by xG (1.50 vs 0.32).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.