Championship
· Regular Season - 39
March 21, 2026 17:00
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
4
0.27
Actual xG
2.11
45%
Possession
55%
7
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
47.73%
Watford
28.98%
X ←
23.29%
Leicester
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.98%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.35
0.27
-1.08
0.93
2.11
+1.18
Leicester dominated by xG (2.11 vs 0.27).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.