Championship
· Regular Season - 39
March 21, 2026 17:00
Match statistics
8
Shots on target
7
1.63
Actual xG
1.52
40%
Possession
60%
1
Corners
9
Pre-match prediction
28.96%
QPR ←
32.98%
X
38.06%
Portsmouth
we assigned to the actual result (QPR)
28.96%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.54
1.63
+1.09
1.15
1.52
+0.37
xG dominance was balanced (1.63 – 1.52).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.