Championship
· Regular Season - 39
March 21, 2026 17:00
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
5
1.36
Actual xG
1.44
39%
Possession
61%
7
Corners
7
Pre-match prediction
22.36%
Charlton
28.54%
X
49.1%
Norwich ←
we assigned to the actual result (Norwich)
49.1%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.54
1.36
+0.82
1.40
1.44
+0.04
xG dominance was balanced (1.36 – 1.44).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.