Championship
· Regular Season - 39
March 21, 2026 19:15
✓Model correct — prediction Coventry
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
7
1.72
Actual xG
2.26
54%
Possession
46%
2
Corners
7
Pre-match prediction
23.36%
Swansea
20.83%
X
55.81%
Coventry ←
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Coventry)
55.81%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.82
1.72
+0.9
2.07
2.26
+0.19
Coventry dominated by xG (2.26 vs 1.72).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.