Primeira Liga
· Regular Season - 27
March 21, 2026 17:30
✓Model correct — prediction Famalicao
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
6
1.74
Actual xG
0.43
54%
Possession
46%
7
Corners
6
Pre-match prediction
61.85%
Famalicao ←
23.48%
X
14.67%
Nacional
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Famalicao)
61.85%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.71
1.74
+0.03
0.71
0.43
-0.28
Famalicao dominated by xG (1.74 vs 0.43).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
