Primeira Liga
· Regular Season - 27
March 21, 2026 20:00
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
0
0.30
Actual xG
0.79
54%
Possession
46%
6
Corners
6
Pre-match prediction
40.39%
Santa ←
24.91%
X
34.7%
GIL
we assigned to the actual result (Santa Clara)
40.39%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.53
0.30
-1.23
1.31
0.79
-0.52
GIL Vicente dominated by xG (0.79 vs 0.30).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
