La Liga
· Regular Season - 29
March 21, 2026 15:00
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
4
1.56
Actual xG
1.47
47%
Possession
53%
2
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
42.47%
Elche ←
28.02%
X
29.51%
Mallorca
we assigned to the actual result (Elche)
42.47%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.30
1.56
+0.26
1.04
1.47
+0.43
xG dominance was balanced (1.56 – 1.47).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
