La Liga
· Regular Season - 29
March 21, 2026 19:30
Match statistics
11
Shots on target
0
1.90
Actual xG
0.22
48%
Possession
52%
6
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
38.98%
Osasuna ←
26.0%
X
35.02%
Girona
we assigned to the actual result (Osasuna)
38.98%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.13
1.90
+0.77
1.49
0.22
-1.27
Osasuna dominated by xG (1.90 vs 0.22).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.