La Liga
· Regular Season - 29
March 21, 2026 22:00
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
4
0.38
Actual xG
1.81
59%
Possession
41%
1
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
37.26%
Sevilla
32.45%
X
30.29%
Valencia ←
we assigned to the actual result (Valencia)
30.29%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.99
0.38
-0.61
0.86
1.81
+0.95
Valencia dominated by xG (1.81 vs 0.38).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.