Eredivisie
· Regular Season - 28
March 21, 2026 17:30
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
2
1.25
Actual xG
1.85
40%
Possession
60%
7
Corners
6
Pre-match prediction
27.12%
Fortuna
21.58%
X
51.31%
Twente ←
we assigned to the actual result (Twente)
51.31%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.36
1.25
-0.12
2.07
1.85
-0.22
Twente dominated by xG (1.85 vs 1.25).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
