Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 27
March 21, 2026 16:30
✓Model correct — prediction Bayern München
Match statistics
9
Shots on target
1
5.53
Actual xG
0.21
74%
Possession
26%
12
Corners
1
Pre-match prediction
88.39%
Bayern ←
7.86%
X
3.75%
Union
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Bayern München)
88.39%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.84
5.53
+1.69
0.85
0.21
-0.64
Bayern München dominated by xG (5.53 vs 0.21).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.