Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 27
March 21, 2026 16:30
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
3
0.76
Actual xG
0.37
57%
Possession
43%
8
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
29.12%
VfL
18.24%
X
52.65%
Werder ←
we assigned to the actual result (Werder Bremen)
52.65%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.92
0.76
-0.16
2.31
0.37
-1.94
VfL Wolfsburg dominated by xG (0.76 vs 0.37).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.