Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 27
March 21, 2026 16:30
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
4
1.55
Actual xG
1.14
51%
Possession
49%
5
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
41.42%
1.
28.98%
X ←
29.59%
Borussia
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
28.98%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.16
1.55
+0.39
1.08
1.14
+0.05
1. FC Köln dominated by xG (1.55 vs 1.14).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.