Scottish Premiership
· 1st Phase - 31
March 21, 2026 17:00
✓Model correct — prediction Kilmarnock
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
1
1.87
Actual xG
0.84
42%
Possession
58%
3
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
57.94%
Kilmarnock ←
22.9%
X
19.16%
Livingston
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Kilmarnock)
57.94%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.95
1.87
-0.08
0.99
0.84
-0.15
Kilmarnock dominated by xG (1.87 vs 0.84).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.