Scottish Premiership
· 1st Phase - 31
March 21, 2026 17:00
✓Model correct — prediction Heart Of Midlothian
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
1
1.09
Actual xG
0.57
57%
Possession
43%
4
Corners
7
Pre-match prediction
60.67%
Heart ←
23.08%
X
16.26%
Dundee
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Heart Of Midlothian)
60.67%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.95
1.09
-0.86
1.09
0.57
-0.52
Heart Of Midlothian dominated by xG (1.09 vs 0.57).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.