Scottish Premiership
· 1st Phase - 31
March 21, 2026 17:00
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
1
0.45
Actual xG
0.41
61%
Possession
39%
2
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
53.67%
Motherwell
24.41%
X ←
21.92%
Hibernian
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
24.41%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.79
0.45
-1.34
0.94
0.41
-0.53
xG dominance was balanced (0.45 – 0.41).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.