Scottish Premiership
· 1st Phase - 31
March 21, 2026 17:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Falkirk, result ST Mirren vince
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
4
1.34
Actual xG
0.91
58%
Possession
42%
7
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
67.12%
Falkirk
20.8%
X
12.08%
ST ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (ST Mirren)
12.08%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.84
1.34
-0.5
0.38
0.91
+0.53
Falkirk dominated by xG (1.34 vs 0.91).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
