Scottish Premiership
· 1st Phase - 31
March 21, 2026 19:45
✓Model correct — prediction Rangers
Match statistics
7
Shots on target
1
1.64
Actual xG
0.54
62%
Possession
38%
2
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
75.31%
Rangers ←
17.49%
X
7.2%
Aberdeen
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Rangers)
75.31%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.20
1.64
-0.56
0.52
0.54
+0.02
Rangers dominated by xG (1.64 vs 0.54).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.