Super League
· Regular Season - 31
March 21, 2026 19:00
✗Model wrong — prediction FC Thun, result FC Zurich vince
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
7
0.82
Actual xG
1.64
43%
Possession
57%
2
Corners
9
Pre-match prediction
14.08%
FC ←
9.92%
X
76.0%
FC
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (FC Zurich)
14.08%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.81
0.82
+0.01
3.49
1.64
-1.85
FC Thun dominated by xG (1.64 vs 0.82).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
