Bundesliga
· Relegation Group - 24
March 21, 2026 18:00
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
1
1.30
Actual xG
0.52
49%
Possession
51%
12
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
33.31%
Wolfsberger
30.31%
X ←
36.38%
SCR
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.31%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.98
1.30
+0.32
1.16
0.52
-0.64
Wolfsberger AC dominated by xG (1.30 vs 0.52).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
