Bundesliga
· Relegation Group - 24
March 21, 2026 18:00
Match statistics
9
Shots on target
2
3.88
Actual xG
1.14
61%
Possession
39%
12
Corners
0
Pre-match prediction
42.37%
FC ←
30.96%
X
26.67%
Ried
we assigned to the actual result (FC BW Linz)
42.37%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.21
3.88
+2.67
0.73
1.14
+0.41
FC BW Linz dominated by xG (3.88 vs 1.14).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
