Bundesliga
· Relegation Group - 24
March 21, 2026 18:00
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
9
0.32
Actual xG
2.96
42%
Possession
58%
0
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
45.47%
WSG
31.75%
X
22.77%
Grazer ←
we assigned to the actual result (Grazer AK)
22.77%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.17
0.32
-0.85
0.65
2.96
+2.31
Grazer AK dominated by xG (2.96 vs 0.32).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
