Eliteserien
· Regular Season - 2
March 21, 2026 17:00
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
3
2.90
Actual xG
0.96
58%
Possession
42%
10
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
32.51%
Start
32.88%
X ←
34.61%
Aalesund
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.88%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.71
2.90
+2.19
1.47
0.96
-0.51
Start dominated by xG (2.90 vs 0.96).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
