MLS
· Regular Season - 5
March 21, 2026 19:00
Match statistics
7
Shots on target
4
0.91
Actual xG
0.68
44%
Possession
56%
10
Corners
7
Pre-match prediction
38.32%
Toronto ←
31.3%
X
30.38%
Columbus
we assigned to the actual result (Toronto FC)
38.32%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.54
0.91
-0.63
0.87
0.68
-0.19
xG dominance was balanced (0.91 – 0.68).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
