MLS
· Regular Season - 5
March 22, 2026 01:30
Match statistics
10
Shots on target
8
2.55
Actual xG
2.61
45%
Possession
55%
2
Corners
8
Pre-match prediction
36.79%
Charlotte ←
30.75%
X
32.46%
New
we assigned to the actual result (Charlotte)
36.79%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.70
2.55
+0.85
1.37
2.61
+1.24
xG dominance was balanced (2.55 – 2.61).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
