Serie A
· Regular Season - 30
March 21, 2026 21:45
✗Model wrong — prediction Juventus, result Pareggio
Match statistics
8
Shots on target
1
2.13
Actual xG
0.48
66%
Possession
34%
9
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
58.91%
Juventus
21.31%
X ←
19.78%
Sassuolo
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
21.31%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.05
2.13
+0.08
1.28
0.48
-0.8
Juventus dominated by xG (2.13 vs 0.48).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
