Serie B
· Regular Season - 32
March 22, 2026 16:00
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
5
1.79
Actual xG
1.05
57%
Possession
43%
3
Corners
4
Pre-match prediction
26.31%
Sudtirol
25.82%
X
47.87%
Frosinone ←
we assigned to the actual result (Frosinone)
47.87%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.19
1.79
+0.6
1.82
1.05
-0.76
Sudtirol dominated by xG (1.79 vs 1.05).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
