Serie B
· Regular Season - 32
March 22, 2026 20:30
Match statistics
9
Shots on target
3
1.64
Actual xG
0.67
54%
Possession
46%
8
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
48.96%
Virtus ←
35.36%
X
15.68%
Reggiana
we assigned to the actual result (Virtus Entella)
48.96%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.12
1.64
+0.52
0.47
0.67
+0.2
Virtus Entella dominated by xG (1.64 vs 0.67).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
