Premier League
· Regular Season - 31
March 22, 2026 14:00
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
7
1.27
Actual xG
2.45
60%
Possession
40%
9
Corners
5
Pre-match prediction
52.12%
Newcastle
27.22%
X
20.66%
Sunderland ←
we assigned to the actual result (Sunderland)
20.66%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.64
1.27
-0.37
0.97
2.45
+1.48
Sunderland dominated by xG (2.45 vs 1.27).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
