Premier League
· Regular Season - 31
March 22, 2026 16:15
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
7
1.14
Actual xG
1.48
58%
Possession
42%
13
Corners
3
Pre-match prediction
32.09%
Tottenham
30.49%
X
37.42%
Nottingham ←
we assigned to the actual result (Nottingham Forest)
37.42%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.16
1.14
-0.02
1.24
1.48
+0.24
Nottingham Forest dominated by xG (1.48 vs 1.14).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
