Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 8
March 22, 2026 21:00
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
3
1.48
Actual xG
0.55
37%
Possession
63%
0
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
42.92%
Vasco ←
27.98%
X
29.1%
Gremio
we assigned to the actual result (Vasco DA Gama)
42.92%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.95
1.48
-0.47
1.11
0.55
-0.56
Vasco DA Gama dominated by xG (1.48 vs 0.55).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
