Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 8
March 22, 2026 21:00
Match statistics
3
Shots on target
1
1.11
Actual xG
0.12
61%
Possession
39%
6
Corners
0
Pre-match prediction
39.17%
Cruzeiro
30.36%
X ←
30.47%
Santos
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.36%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.36
1.11
-0.25
1.10
0.12
-0.98
Cruzeiro dominated by xG (1.11 vs 0.12).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
