Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 8
March 22, 2026 23:30
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
3
0.88
Actual xG
0.97
40%
Possession
60%
4
Corners
5
Pre-match prediction
37.19%
Vitoria ←
30.87%
X
31.94%
Mirassol
we assigned to the actual result (Vitoria)
37.19%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.29
0.88
-0.41
1.18
0.97
-0.21
xG dominance was balanced (0.88 – 0.97).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.