Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 8
March 23, 2026 01:30
Match statistics
2
Shots on target
2
1.31
Actual xG
0.36
54%
Possession
46%
6
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
32.62%
Corinthians
32.19%
X ←
35.18%
Flamengo
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
32.19%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.85
1.31
+0.46
1.14
0.36
-0.78
Corinthians dominated by xG (1.31 vs 0.36).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
