2. Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 27
March 22, 2026 14:30
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
9
1.40
Actual xG
1.90
59%
Possession
41%
6
Corners
1
Pre-match prediction
35.96%
Fortuna
26.95%
X
37.09%
Hertha ←
we assigned to the actual result (Hertha BSC)
37.09%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.42
1.40
-0.02
1.18
1.90
+0.72
Hertha BSC dominated by xG (1.90 vs 1.40).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.