Ligue 1
· Regular Season - 27
March 22, 2026 16:00
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
7
1.35
Actual xG
2.68
56%
Possession
44%
2
Corners
6
Pre-match prediction
41.7%
Lyon
23.52%
X
34.79%
Monaco ←
we assigned to the actual result (Monaco)
34.79%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.49
1.35
-0.14
1.67
2.68
+1.01
Monaco dominated by xG (2.68 vs 1.35).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
