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La Liga · Regular Season - 29 March 22, 2026 15:00
Barcelona
#1 · 85 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Rayo Vallecano
#11 · 39 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Barcelona
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
4
1.36
Actual xG
1.83
61%
Possession
39%
6
Corners
9
Pre-match prediction
78.38%
Barcelona ←
12.64%
X
8.98%
Rayo
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Barcelona) 78.38% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Barcelona
3.06
1.36
-1.7
Rayo
0.94
1.83
+0.89
Rayo Vallecano dominated by xG (1.83 vs 1.36). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 33 85
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 33 74
3 Villarreal Villarreal 33 65
4 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 33 60
5 Real Betis Real Betis 33 50
6 Getafe Getafe 33 44
7 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 33 44
8 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 33 43
9 Osasuna Osasuna 33 42
10 Athletic Club Athletic Club 33 41
11 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 33 39
12 Valencia Valencia 33 39
13 Espanyol Espanyol 33 39
14 Elche Elche 33 38
15 Girona Girona 33 38
16 Alaves Alaves 33 36
17 Mallorca Mallorca 33 35
18 Sevilla Sevilla 33 34
19 Levante Levante 33 33
20 Oviedo Oviedo 33 28