La Liga
· Regular Season - 29
March 22, 2026 17:15
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
6
1.82
Actual xG
1.73
56%
Possession
44%
4
Corners
1
Pre-match prediction
54.92%
Celta
25.06%
X
20.03%
Alaves ←
we assigned to the actual result (Alaves)
20.03%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.62
1.82
+0.2
0.83
1.73
+0.9
xG dominance was balanced (1.82 – 1.73).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
