La Liga
· Regular Season - 29
March 22, 2026 19:30
Match statistics
6
Shots on target
3
1.25
Actual xG
0.48
39%
Possession
61%
6
Corners
5
Pre-match prediction
43.42%
Athletic ←
25.84%
X
30.74%
Real
we assigned to the actual result (Athletic Club)
43.42%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.52
1.25
-0.27
1.08
0.48
-0.6
Athletic Club dominated by xG (1.25 vs 0.48).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
