Eredivisie
· Regular Season - 28
March 22, 2026 13:15
✗Model wrong — prediction NEC Nijmegen, result Pareggio
Match statistics
10
Shots on target
5
2.22
Actual xG
1.38
54%
Possession
46%
6
Corners
2
Pre-match prediction
62.13%
NEC
18.79%
X ←
19.08%
Heerenveen
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
18.79%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.42
2.22
-0.2
1.24
1.38
+0.14
NEC Nijmegen dominated by xG (2.22 vs 1.38).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
