Eredivisie
· Regular Season - 28
March 22, 2026 15:30
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
2
1.37
Actual xG
0.21
53%
Possession
47%
5
Corners
1
Pre-match prediction
44.74%
Feyenoord
25.36%
X ←
29.9%
Ajax
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
25.36%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.57
1.37
-0.2
1.21
0.21
-1.0
Feyenoord dominated by xG (1.37 vs 0.21).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
